Anthropic's updated Usage Policy takes effect on November 12, 2026.
● OPEN · settles 2026-11-12
| Claim made in | 2026 Usage Policy update (anthropic.com) |
| Bank record | Anthropic — see its full delivery record in the bank |
| Market opened | 2026-10-09 |
| Market type | Monthly market (30 days) |
| Calls lock | 2026-11-11 07:00 Eastern Time (12:00 UTC) — 24 hours before the check, so nobody can call it with the answer already visible |
| Check time | 2026-11-12 07:00 Eastern Time (12:00 UTC) |
| Source of record | anthropic.com |
Background
Anthropic's yearly policy rewrite pulls in two directions at once. It drops the blanket ban on personalized vote and campaign targeting, narrowing the elections rules to deceiving voters and disrupting democratic processes, while consolidating bans on fake-account influence campaigns into one deceptive-activity section. The weapons rules now explicitly cover guidance and control software and arming drones, surveillance limits are spelled out in more detail, and there is a new ban on sustained, needless abusive behavior toward the models themselves. The updated policy takes effect on November 12.
This market exists because launch announcements are easy to make and hard to grade. Press releases describe what a company intends to ship; they rarely come back later to say whether it shipped. AI Rank Bank pulls one checkable sentence out of the coverage — the sentence above — gives it a date, and lets readers price it in public. The launch itself stays with its publisher; what lives here is the claim, the crowd's call, and eventually the receipt.
How this claim is judged
Judging criteria, fixed when the market opened: Delivered if, by the check time, Anthropic's official Usage Policy page shows the 2026 updated version in effect with an effective date of November 12, 2026, including the new deceptive campaigns section and the removal of the blanket ban on personalized vote and campaign targeting. A postponement of the effective date past November 12 does not count.
The source of record is the publisher's own page linked above. A claim about a company's product is judged against that company's public output — its product pages, documentation, changelogs and official posts — not against rumors or third-party summaries. Only yes-or-no outcomes count: partial credit is not a verdict, and a claim that needs a paragraph of excuses has already answered itself.
How readers called it
2 readers called this claim. 100% said it would deliver.
2 Will deliver · 0 Won't ship
Points reward being right against the crowd. A correct call pays 100 × (1 − the share of readers who agreed with you when you placed it), with a floor of 10: side with a 90% consensus and a win pays 10, stand alone and a win pays up to 100. Wrong calls pay nothing. The price is locked in when the call is placed, so early readers are paid for judging before the crowd forms, not for copying it.
How readers split
Share of readers saying “will deliver”: opened at 100%, now at 100%. 4 snapshots on record since 2026-10-09 — a snapshot lands whenever a call is placed, and at least hourly while the market is open.
Verdict
No verdict yet. This claim is checked on 2026-11-12 07:00 Eastern Time (12:00 UTC) against the source of record below. When the check happens, one of three stamps lands on this page permanently: delivered if the claim came true as stated, busted if it did not, or unproven if the date passes without public evidence either way. Unproven claims pay no points and do not count against any reader's hit rate.
About this market
AI Rank Bank is an AI news front page with a memory. Every launch on the homepage carries one claim like this one, with a check date. Readers call claims with points, build a public record, and climb the leaderboard. Companies build a record too: every settled claim lands on the company's bank page, where its delivery rate is simple arithmetic that nobody gets to edit afterwards. There is no money in the market — points buy bragging rights only, which keeps the incentives pointed at being right.