AI Rank BankEvery launch is a claim. Every claim gets a verdict.
AI Launch · Claims

Claims on the record

Every market on AI Rank Bank is one checkable sentence pulled from a company's own announcement, with a check date and a public verdict. 62 markets are open now; 2 have been settled. Call them from the homepage — right answers against the crowd pay the most points.

Market overview

62 open markets · 8 reader calls placed · settled: 2 delivered · 0 busted

Biggest calls

Anthropic publishes the program's criteria or its first verified participants.
Anthropic · settles 2026-11-06· 75% deliver · 4 calls· monthly
The Meta Model API leaves public preview and reaches general availability.
Meta AI · settles 2026-10-31· 50% deliver · 2 calls· monthly
OpenAI ships user-facing text-provenance tooling aligned with the EU rules.
OpenAI · settles 2026-12-05· 100% deliver · 1 calls· monthly
Atlassian ships the announced OpenAI-powered features to general users.
OpenAI · settles 2026-12-06· 100% deliver · 1 calls· monthly

Settling soon

DGX Spark 64GB goes on sale on Friday, October 23, 2026, from the named partners starting at $4,999.
NVIDIA · settles 2026-10-23· no calls yet· monthly
Anthropic publishes the evaluation results this work commits to.
Anthropic · settles 2026-10-31· no calls yet· monthly
Gemini Flash Cyber opens beyond the initial trusted partners.
Google DeepMind · settles 2026-10-31· no calls yet· monthly
DeepMind publishes the ICPC solutions or code.
Google DeepMind · settles 2026-10-31· no calls yet· monthly
The Meta Model API leaves public preview and reaches general availability.
Meta AI · settles 2026-10-31· 50% deliver · 2 calls· monthly
Mistral AI releases the Mistral Large 4 weights publicly by the end of October 2026.
Mistral AI · settles 2026-10-31· no calls yet· monthly
RTX Spark Windows PCs from Lenovo and Acer arrive in October 2026.
NVIDIA · settles 2026-10-31· no calls yet· monthly
GPT-6 API list pricing stays at its launch level through the check date.
OpenAI · settles 2026-11-02· no calls yet· monthly
The mathematics results are published in full — paper or preprint — for outside scrutiny.
OpenAI · settles 2026-11-06· no calls yet· monthly
Anthropic publishes the program's criteria or its first verified participants.
Anthropic · settles 2026-11-06· 75% deliver · 4 calls· monthly
ChatGPT Images 2.5 is the default image model for free-tier ChatGPT users.
OpenAI · settles 2026-11-06· no calls yet· monthly
GPT-Live-1 is still offered in the API at $0.05 per minute for the voice layer.
OpenAI · settles 2026-11-06· no calls yet· monthly
The Ultrafast variant of GPT-6.1 Sol is available to users.
OpenAI · settles 2026-11-06· no calls yet· monthly
Claude Sonnet 5 remains the default model for Free and Pro plans.
Anthropic · settles 2026-11-06· no calls yet· monthly
Claude Opus 5 remains the default model on Claude Max.
Anthropic · settles 2026-11-06· no calls yet· monthly
Recipients of Anthropic's $5M wellbeing-evaluation grants have been publicly announced.
Anthropic · settles 2026-11-06· no calls yet· monthly
The Anthropic Economic Index connector is available to Claude users in chat.
Anthropic · settles 2026-11-06· no calls yet· monthly
The 10,000 Claude seats for scientists are open for sign-up.
Anthropic · settles 2026-11-06· no calls yet· monthly
Claude Opus 5.5 is available on AWS, Google Cloud and Azure.
Anthropic · settles 2026-11-06· no calls yet· monthly
Claude Haiku 5.5 has been released.
Anthropic · settles 2026-11-06· no calls yet· monthly
Gemini Omni 1.1 Flash is available to developers via Google AI Studio or the Gemini API.
Google DeepMind · settles 2026-11-06· no calls yet· monthly
WeatherNext 3 forecasts power weather results in Google Search and the Gemini app.
Google DeepMind · settles 2026-11-06· no calls yet· monthly
Gemini 3.8 Live Extended Thinking is available through the Gemini API.
Google DeepMind · settles 2026-11-06· no calls yet· monthly
Gemini 3.8 Flash TTS is available in Google Vids.
Google DeepMind · settles 2026-11-06· no calls yet· monthly
Custom Live Avatars remain restricted to an enterprise allowlist.
Google DeepMind · settles 2026-11-06· no calls yet· monthly
EmbeddingGemma 2 is available on Android via ML Kit.
Google DeepMind · settles 2026-11-06· no calls yet· monthly
Off-peak API pricing for DeepSeek-V4-Pro remains 50% below peak pricing.
DeepSeek · settles 2026-11-06· no calls yet· monthly
API requests to the deepseek-v4-pro model are served by DeepSeek-V4.1-Flash.
DeepSeek · settles 2026-11-06· no calls yet· monthly
SynthID Bio opens to external partners or a public detector.
Google DeepMind · settles 2026-11-10· no calls yet· monthly
Secure server-side memory rolls out to Gemini users.
Google DeepMind · settles 2026-11-15· no calls yet· monthly
The program names its first verified organisations or exits beta.
Anthropic · settles 2026-11-17· no calls yet· monthly
WeatherNext feeds an official cyclone advisory during the 2026 season.
Google DeepMind · settles 2026-11-19· no calls yet· monthly
The full AlphaGenome Atlas dataset is publicly downloadable.
Google DeepMind · settles 2026-11-24· no calls yet· monthly
The standard gets a public spec update or a second adopting organisation.
Anthropic · settles 2026-11-27· no calls yet· monthly
OpenAI publishes a follow-up action or new detail on distillation abuse.
OpenAI · settles 2026-11-30· no calls yet· monthly
OpenAI's next flagship launch materials repeat the 'AI complements humans' framing.
OpenAI · settles 2026-12-01· no calls yet· monthly
Barclays publicly expands Claude beyond the initial rollout.
Anthropic · settles 2026-12-01· no calls yet· monthly
The enterprise frontier safeguards actually ship to customers.
Anthropic · settles 2026-12-01· no calls yet· monthly
Frontier Academy opens applications or names its first cohort.
Anthropic · settles 2026-12-02· no calls yet· monthly
OpenAI ships user-facing text-provenance tooling aligned with the EU rules.
OpenAI · settles 2026-12-05· 100% deliver · 1 calls· monthly
Atlassian ships the announced OpenAI-powered features to general users.
OpenAI · settles 2026-12-06· 100% deliver · 1 calls· monthly
GPT-6 Astra is generally available to ChatGPT Plus subscribers.
OpenAI · settles 2026-12-06· no calls yet· monthly
The Agents API has left beta and is generally available.
OpenAI · settles 2026-12-06· no calls yet· monthly
ChatGPT Work's Data agent can connect to Snowflake, Databricks, BigQuery and Redshift data sources.
OpenAI · settles 2026-12-06· no calls yet· monthly
At least one financial institution is publicly named as a ChatGPT for Financial Services customer.
OpenAI · settles 2026-12-06· no calls yet· monthly
GPT-6 Sol or Luna is available in standard ChatGPT chat.
OpenAI · settles 2026-12-06· no calls yet· monthly
The Enterprise Frontier Safeguards system has begun rolling out to enterprise customers.
Anthropic · settles 2026-12-06· no calls yet· monthly
Gemini 3.8 Flash Cyber remains limited to Fairwind trusted defenders, with no general API release.
Google DeepMind · settles 2026-12-06· no calls yet· monthly
At least one Fairwind partner has publicly reported results from using Gemini 3.8 Flash Cyber.
Google DeepMind · settles 2026-12-06· no calls yet· monthly
Gemini 4 Argon is available to paid API customers beyond the Fairwind trusted-defender cohort.
Google DeepMind · settles 2026-12-06· no calls yet· monthly
Meta has published additional Genesis Mission project deployments beyond the Berkeley Lab SYNAPS-I project.
Meta AI · settles 2026-12-06· no calls yet· monthly
The University of Pittsburgh's RAMMP platform has begun trials with wheelchair users.
Meta AI · settles 2026-12-06· no calls yet· monthly
The experimental deepseek-v4-flash-vision-exp model has been superseded by a non-experimental multimodal release.
DeepSeek · settles 2026-12-06· no calls yet· monthly
Embedded evaluation shows up in a shipped model release (system card or docs).
Anthropic · settles 2026-12-18· no calls yet· monthly
Meta publishes a Brain2Qwerty follow-up (new results or an external replication).
Meta AI · settles 2026-12-29· no calls yet· monthly
Ads are live for at least some ChatGPT users.
OpenAI · settles 2026-12-31· no calls yet· monthly
Albertsons publicly reports measurable results from the rollout (earnings call or expansion).
OpenAI · settles 2026-12-31· no calls yet· monthly
A named partner publicly demos or ships a Gemini Robotics 2 system.
Google DeepMind · settles 2026-12-31· no calls yet· monthly
Gemini Robotics reaches a public partner deployment (1.5 or a successor).
Google DeepMind · settles 2026-12-31· no calls yet· monthly
Muse Video launches publicly — it was only previewed at announcement.
Meta AI · settles 2026-12-31· no calls yet· monthly
MAI-Transcribe-2-Streaming keeps its introductory price of $0.54 per hour of audio through the end of 2026.
Microsoft · settles 2026-12-31· no calls yet· monthly
An independent lab publishes validation or follow-up work on the enzyme system.
Anthropic · settles 2027-01-23· no calls yet· monthly

Settled

The headline DevDay announcements are in developers' hands.
OpenAI · ✓ DELIVERED· no calls yet· flash
Muse Spark is live in Meta AI, and an API preview opens.
Meta AI · ✓ DELIVERED· no calls yet· flash