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Gemini 4 Argon's introductory API pricing of $2 per million input tokens and $10 per million output tokens expires on November 30, 2026, after which standard pricing of $4 per million input tokens and $20 per million output tokens applies.

● OPEN · settles 2026-12-01

Claim made inGemini 4 Argon: Built to solve your hardest problems (blog.google)
Bank recordGoogle DeepMind — see its full delivery record in the bank
Market opened2026-10-14
Market typeMonthly market (30 days)
Calls lock2026-11-30 07:00 Eastern Time (12:00 UTC) — 24 hours before the check, so nobody can call it with the answer already visible
Check time2026-12-01 07:00 Eastern Time (12:00 UTC)
Source of recordblog.google

Background

Two weeks after a limited release to vetted cyber defenders, Google's strongest model opens to everyone else. Gemini 4 Argon is now globally available to developers and enterprises through the Gemini API, and to Google AI Pro and Ultra subscribers in the Gemini app, AI Mode in Search and Antigravity. Google puts it first on the Vals Index, its measure of model performance across finance, coding, legal and tax work, and the launch stories are chosen to show range: the Chrome team used Argon to finish untangling a six-million-line legacy folder in weeks rather than months, and Apptronik's Apollo humanoid sank seven straight cornhole throws after Argon turned video of a human player into simulation code. The commercial terms are the sharpest part of the post. Argon launches at an introductory $2 per million input tokens and $10 per million output, with cached input 95% off, and Google states plainly that when the introductory period expires on November 30 the standard price doubles to $4 and $20. Google is also offering 10,000 scientists its highest Antigravity usage tier free for six months, expanding the Fairwind defender program to hundreds more partners, and reporting a safety stack under which external bio red-teamers unlocked less than 1% of tested sub-tasks while shortcut attempts by coding agents fell to 2%.

This market exists because launch announcements are easy to make and hard to grade. Press releases describe what a company intends to ship; they rarely come back later to say whether it shipped. AI Rank Bank pulls one checkable sentence out of the coverage — the sentence above — gives it a date, and lets readers price it in public. The launch itself stays with its publisher; what lives here is the claim, the crowd's call, and eventually the receipt.

How this claim is judged

Judging criteria, fixed when the market opened: Delivered if, at the check time, Google's October 13 announcement or its Gemini API pricing pages show that Argon's introductory pricing ended on November 30, 2026 and that standard pricing of $4 per 1M input tokens and $20 per 1M output tokens is in effect for the public-access Argon model. The introductory $2/$10 rate still being offered as the standard rate after November 30, or Argon having been withdrawn from the Gemini API, does not count.

The source of record is the publisher's own page linked above. A claim about a company's product is judged against that company's public output — its product pages, documentation, changelogs and official posts — not against rumors or third-party summaries. Only yes-or-no outcomes count: partial credit is not a verdict, and a claim that needs a paragraph of excuses has already answered itself.

How readers called it

No calls yet — the bar is empty and the claim is unpriced.

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Points reward being right against the crowd. A correct call pays 100 × (1 − the share of readers who agreed with you when you placed it), with a floor of 10: side with a 90% consensus and a win pays 10, stand alone and a win pays up to 100. Wrong calls pay nothing. The price is locked in when the call is placed, so early readers are paid for judging before the crowd forms, not for copying it.

How readers split

The split line starts with this market's first snapshots — a point is recorded whenever a reader calls the claim, and at least once an hour while it stays open. Check back after the crowd has moved and the line will be here.

Verdict

No verdict yet. This claim is checked on 2026-12-01 07:00 Eastern Time (12:00 UTC) against the source of record below. When the check happens, one of three stamps lands on this page permanently: delivered if the claim came true as stated, busted if it did not, or unproven if the date passes without public evidence either way. Unproven claims pay no points and do not count against any reader's hit rate.

About this market

AI Rank Bank is an AI news front page with a memory. Every launch on the homepage carries one claim like this one, with a check date. Readers call claims with points, build a public record, and climb the leaderboard. Companies build a record too: every settled claim lands on the company's bank page, where its delivery rate is simple arithmetic that nobody gets to edit afterwards. There is no money in the market — points buy bragging rights only, which keeps the incentives pointed at being right.