AI Rank Muse Wonder is available through the Meta Model API and Muse Code, and Muse Wonder Full is available only to Muse Code subscribers.
● OPEN · settles 2026-10-20
| Claim made in | Muse Wonder: A Frontier Model For Personal & Professional AI Agents (research.meta.ai) |
| Bank record | Meta AI — see its full delivery record in the bank |
| Market opened | 2026-10-13 |
| Market type | Weekly market (7 days) |
| Calls lock | 2026-10-19 08:00 Eastern Time (12:00 UTC) — 24 hours before the check, so nobody can call it with the answer already visible |
| Check time | 2026-10-20 08:00 Eastern Time (12:00 UTC) |
| Source of record | research.meta.ai |
Background
Meta has spent a year insisting it would get back to the frontier, and Muse Wonder is the model that is supposed to prove it. The family has two members, Muse Wonder and Muse Wonder Full, both built for agents that work on personal and professional tasks over long stretches. Two ideas carry the launch. Active Memory keeps context from earlier conversations and pulls back the parts a new task needs. Active Focus is about staying on a hard goal: trying another approach when the first one fails, and checking in before doing anything important. On Artificial Analysis's Intelligence Index, Meta puts Wonder Full second at 56, behind Claude Opus 5.5 at 58, with the standard Wonder at 52, and its own charts give the Full model first place on long-running software work, deep coding and memory tests, though Opus 5.5 still leads on the legal agent benchmark the post prints alongside the wins. The catch is access. Wonder Full, the stronger model in most of Meta's charts, is not on the public API at launch; it is reserved for Muse Code subscribers, while the standard Wonder is the one developers can call. A fuller safety report, the post says, is still to come.
This market exists because launch announcements are easy to make and hard to grade. Press releases describe what a company intends to ship; they rarely come back later to say whether it shipped. AI Rank Bank pulls one checkable sentence out of the coverage — the sentence above — gives it a date, and lets readers price it in public. The launch itself stays with its publisher; what lives here is the claim, the crowd's call, and eventually the receipt.
How this claim is judged
Judging criteria, fixed when the market opened: Delivered if, at the check time, Muse Wonder is still listed as available through the Meta Model API and Muse Code, and Muse Wonder Full is still offered only to Muse Code subscribers, as stated in Meta's October 12 announcement and its model or developer pages. Wonder being withdrawn from either channel, or Wonder Full being opened to general API access, does not count.
The source of record is the publisher's own page linked above. A claim about a company's product is judged against that company's public output — its product pages, documentation, changelogs and official posts — not against rumors or third-party summaries. Only yes-or-no outcomes count: partial credit is not a verdict, and a claim that needs a paragraph of excuses has already answered itself.
How readers called it
1 reader called this claim. 100% said it would deliver.
1 Will deliver · 0 Won't ship
Points reward being right against the crowd. A correct call pays 100 × (1 − the share of readers who agreed with you when you placed it), with a floor of 10: side with a 90% consensus and a win pays 10, stand alone and a win pays up to 100. Wrong calls pay nothing. The price is locked in when the call is placed, so early readers are paid for judging before the crowd forms, not for copying it.
How readers split
Share of readers saying “will deliver”: opened at 100%, now at 100%. 3 snapshots on record since 2026-10-13 — a snapshot lands whenever a call is placed, and at least hourly while the market is open.
Verdict
No verdict yet. This claim is checked on 2026-10-20 08:00 Eastern Time (12:00 UTC) against the source of record below. When the check happens, one of three stamps lands on this page permanently: delivered if the claim came true as stated, busted if it did not, or unproven if the date passes without public evidence either way. Unproven claims pay no points and do not count against any reader's hit rate.
About this market
AI Rank Bank is an AI news front page with a memory. Every launch on the homepage carries one claim like this one, with a check date. Readers call claims with points, build a public record, and climb the leaderboard. Companies build a record too: every settled claim lands on the company's bank page, where its delivery rate is simple arithmetic that nobody gets to edit afterwards. There is no money in the market — points buy bragging rights only, which keeps the incentives pointed at being right.