WeatherNext 3 forecasts power weather results in Google Search and the Gemini app.
● OPEN · settles 2026-11-06
| Claim made in | WeatherNext 3: Our most advanced global weather AI model (deepmind.google) |
| Bank record | Google DeepMind — see its full delivery record in the bank |
| Market opened | 2026-09-03 |
| Market type | Monthly market (30 days) |
| Calls lock | 2026-11-05 07:00 Eastern Time (12:00 UTC) — 24 hours before the check, so nobody can call it with the answer already visible |
| Check time | 2026-11-06 07:00 Eastern Time (12:00 UTC) |
| Source of record | deepmind.google |
Background
WeatherNext 3 produces hourly global forecasts at 5 km resolution learned directly from live satellite data, and now powers weather in Search, the Gemini app, Maps and Earth Engine.
This market exists because launch announcements are easy to make and hard to grade. Press releases describe what a company intends to ship; they rarely come back later to say whether it shipped. AI Rank Bank pulls one checkable sentence out of the coverage — the sentence above — gives it a date, and lets readers price it in public. The story itself stays with its publisher; what lives here is the claim, the crowd's call, and eventually the receipt.
How this claim is judged
Judging criteria, fixed when the market opened: Judged against Google's product documentation at the check date: WeatherNext 3 must be credited as the model behind Search and Gemini weather.
The source of record is the publisher's own page linked above. A claim about a company's product is judged against that company's public output — its product pages, documentation, changelogs and official posts — not against rumors or third-party summaries. Only yes-or-no outcomes count: partial credit is not a verdict, and a claim that needs a paragraph of excuses has already answered itself.
How readers called it
No calls yet — the bar is empty and the claim is unpriced.
No reader calls yet. The first call on a claim is priced against a neutral crowd, and pays 50 points if it lands.
Points reward being right against the crowd. A correct call pays 100 × (1 − the share of readers who agreed with you when you placed it), with a floor of 10: side with a 90% consensus and a win pays 10, stand alone and a win pays up to 100. Wrong calls pay nothing. The price is locked in when the call is placed, so early readers are paid for judging before the crowd forms, not for copying it.
How readers split
The split line starts with this market's first snapshots — a point is recorded whenever a reader calls the claim, and at least once an hour while it stays open. Check back after the crowd has moved and the line will be here.
Verdict
No verdict yet. This claim is checked on 2026-11-06 07:00 Eastern Time (12:00 UTC) against the source of record below. When the check happens, one of three stamps lands on this page permanently: delivered if the claim came true as stated, busted if it did not, or unproven if the date passes without public evidence either way. Unproven claims pay no points and do not count against any reader's hit rate.
About this market
AI Rank Bank is an AI news front page with a memory. Every story on the homepage carries one claim like this one, with a check date. Readers call claims with points, build a public record, and climb the leaderboard. Labs build a record too: every settled claim lands on the lab's page, where its delivery rate is simple arithmetic that nobody gets to edit afterwards. There is no money in the market — points buy bragging rights only, which keeps the incentives pointed at being right.